COVID-19 Findings, Simulations

From March 2020 – March 2023, we supplied inference, projections, simulations of intervention effects to the CDC, NYC DOHMH, NYCH+H, NY State DOH and others.  Posting, publications and links are provided below.

Data Links: US County-resolved projections.  NYC projections.  US Surge Capacity Projections.

Visualization Links: US Surge Capacity Line GraphsUS Surge Capacity Maps.

Multi-model Comparisons: Delphi.

Accepted/In Press/Early Release

  • Kaondera-Shava, R., M. Galanti, M. Perini, J. Suh, S.M. Farley, S. Chicumbe, I. Jani, A. Cassy, I Macicame, N. Manafe, W. El-Sadr and J. Shaman. SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Mozambique and Zimbabwe during the first three years of the pandemic. Royal Society Open Science.

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020