Current Research

Below is a non-exhaustive list of my work in progress. Titles, analyses, and conclusions are still tentative. Please contact me for additional details.

• “Polarization and Perceptions of Status Gain and Loss: The Case of Brazil” (with Fernando Mello and David Samuels, under review). Findings discussed in Piauí (Feb 2024) and in this episode of UOL TV’s Análise da Notícia.
• “Same Outcome, Different Pathway: A Comparative Perspective on Polarization in Brazil” (with David Samuels, Larissa Beckman, and Fernando Mello, under review).
• “‘That Could Be Me’: Fear of Sending-Country Chaos Can Drive Immigration Attitudes” (with Fernando Mello, David Samuels, and Ignacio Jurado, working paper).
• “Exogenous Shocks and Misattribution of Responsibility for Economic Performance: Results From Survey Experiments” (with Daniela Campello, under review). An earlier version received the prize for best paper presented in the 2017 annual REPAL conference.
• “The economic determinants of macro-institutional instability” (with Daniela Campello, early version presented at REPAL 2024)
• “Do You Have an Appointment? How Executives Shape Electoral Careers in Brazil” (with Joaquim Meira and Timothy Power, under review)
• “Samba schools and electoral behavior under Brazil’s military dictatorship” (with  Caio Gonçalves and Fabio Caldieraro, work in progress).